Monday, April 30, 2012

Tornadoes and Tulips: The Mt. Vernon Connection

Or perhaps funnels and flowers.   What is it with Mt. Vernon and funnel clouds during the annual spring Tulip festival?   Remember last year?  On April 29th several folks spotted and photographed a funnel cloud rotating over the famous blossoms (see picture below which I found in a story in the Skagit County Herald).

 Nice mini wall cloud with the funnel (the wider part hanging from the cloud base).

Today, I received an impressive picture of two funnels caught over the tulip fields on Sunday at around 12 PM.  This photo was taken by Chris Evans.

http://spindriftphoto.photoshelter.com/image/I0000L1WR_zt.Y50
 Here is another picture by Janet Cray (found here).  You have to look carefully...

And one more by Donna Pratt:
Parenthetical remark:  isn't wonderful how we can get such pictures today with so many people having cell/smartphones with cameras!  A wonderful time to be a meteorologist!

To be honest with you, I as a little surprised by these funnels.  Yesterday was not very unstable and there was very little precipitation or convection.  Here is the NWS radar at that 12:29 PM. UNIMPRESSIVE.



And here is a blown up view over the area of interest 10 minutes later...a developing cell near Mt. Vernon (green color)...but nothing significant.


And take a look at the high-resolution satellite imagery at 12:30 PM..the arrow is pointing to the convective cell (white spot).....you would not write home to your mother about this.


So the only explanation of this is that there was enough horizontal shear (change of winds in the horizontal) to produce some rotation (we call it vorticity in the business).  A weak updraft spun this weak rotation up, like an ice skater rotating faster as she pulls her arms in.  In my NW weather book I go into this mechanism in some depth.

Why Mt. Vernon in spring?  Spring is the most unstable time of the year, with the atmosphere still being cool and the ground warming up rapidly from a bulked up sun.  Mt. Vernon is near terrain and a place that often has regional horizontal wind shear (flow though the Strait versus flow up or down the Sound).    Both can produce low-level wind shear that can have rotation..rotation that can be spun up by convection.

As an aside...quite a blustery April day today as a fairly strong low pressure passed to our north, setting up a large north-south pressure difference (see map).


Some folks got gusts to 30-40 mph, particularly near the water--branches and leaves were all over the ground as I biked home today from the UW.  Take a look at the winds on the Evergreen Point Floating Bridge...bet there was some serious spray on the eastbound roadway!




Belle of the Ball - Power Icon Rough Drafts

 
In Belle of the Ball, guests have special powers that are triggered as soon as they create a group of friends, join a group of friends, or have a new guest join their group of friends. That's a tough set of conditions to state succinctly. (See my previous posts on over-coding and under-coding in card game design.)

For now, it's worded as "When this guest is friended," which is awkward and very distinctly modern. Ideally, I could just consolidate that whole line into a simple symbol, so I can refer players back to the rulebook where I have more room to state things in more detail. (It also makes the game easier to translate for foreign markets.)

Oh hey! I already have that symbol on the cards. It's the little icon of two stacked cards that appears with the Friend Bonus.

That'll work. There is also some space on the lower left corner where I could insert an icon or some other bit of information. This would be great in play because you can stack and overlap your guest cards without having to lift up any of them to read rules text.

The special powers are a little complex to explain visually, especially in a small space. Here's the full list of powers with a quick first attempt at expressing them visually.

       
When this guest is friended, choose a player. Steal 1 random card from their hand. Another version of this power allows you to steal 2 cards. Does the 2-card version look like you only get to keep one of the two?
 
When this guest is friended, you may invite 1 more guest from Lordhurtz county. There are also versions of this power for the other counties. The front of the card shows an enlarged county symbol. Is it clear that this is guest card is being pulled from a hand of cards? A normal hand of cards has five cards, I should probably include those. Also, should I include a thumb in the icon to really drive home the "hand" idea?

When this guest is friended, you may draw the top card from the discard deck. The icon shows a stack of face-up cards with one card pulled away from it. Does this icon need a pinching hand, like the stealing icon?

When this guest is friended, draw 2 extra cards from the Guest deck when you Refresh. The icon shows a stack of face-down cards, with two cards pulled away from it. Does this icon need a pinching hand, too?

Lots to think about in the coming weeks. I look forward to testing these at small sizes and in actual play.

People will talk

A new link has shown up in the blogroll, the nicely named Slow Boat to the Land of Parting Gifts.

Greg Palmer, a North Carolina State student and fervent game show fan, interviews various folks in the business. Right now he's getting some buzz for an interview with Roger Dobkowitz, longtime producer on The Price is Right and other shows.

Roger dishes dirt on Gene Rayburn, who apparently had a rocky relationship with the Dob. As you might expect, that has set off some chatter on the game show Internets.

But Greg's blog offers a lot of other interviews as well. I like the chat with Todd Newton, for instance, especially when Todd challenges Greg's opinion that Whammy was a failure. After all, Whammy's still on TV, albeit in reruns.

Hope you enjoy the interviews, even if the blog is overloaded with videos. My browser has a little trouble with the site. But the difficulties are minor, and it's fun to read the comments from people who try to make a living in our little genre.

The alpha addendum

DP sends news of what is apparently an unspoken coda added to some women's marriage vows:
I recently married and should be bathed in newlywed bliss, but a rock star in a famous alternative band wants me to have an affair with him. I’m shocked and thrilled, to say the least. My conscience says, “Are you insane? You love your husband and chose him for a reason. Don’t jeopardize that!” But I’m also hearing “You only live once, and thousands of women wish they had this guy’s attention.”
This sums up female hypergamy in a nutshell. She's just gotten married, but simply because a man whom she only imagines thousands of women want has expressed sexual interest in her, she's genuinely considering attempting to trade up. The thing that is truly twisted about hypergamy is that she probably doesn't even have that much genuine interest in the rock star, she's more interested in being able to tell everyone that a rock star in a famous alternative band wants to have sex with her.

Of course, here is the ideal solution. She tells her husband the guy is sniffing around, they arrange for her to be alone with him for a few minutes, then she texts her husband, who comes in, "discovers" them, and kicks the guy's ass. She gets what she actually wants, the rock star gets what he deserves, and the husband scores some serious dominance points for beating down a sexual alpha. In reality, the husband should probably consider dumping her as soon as he finds out about this - and he probably will since it's clearly not the sort of thing about which she is likely to keep her mouth shut - since if she's this inclined to stray so soon after the wedding, it's only a matter of time before she does.

More ways to measure your website's performance with User Timings

By Satish Kambala and Mustafa M. Tikir, Google Analytics Team

Cross-posted from the Google Analytics Blog

As part of our mission to make the web faster, Google Analytics provides Site Speed reports to analyze your site’s page load times. To help you measure and diagnose the speed of your pages in a finer grain, we’re happy to extend the collection of Site Speed reports in Google Analytics with User Timings.

With User Timings, you can track and visualize user defined custom timings about websites. The report shows the execution speed or load time of any discrete hit, event, or user interaction that you want to track. This can include measuring how quickly specific images and/or resources load, how long it takes for your site to respond to specific button clicks, timings for AJAX actions before and after onLoad event, etc. User timings will not alter your pageview count, hence,  makes it the preferred method for tracking a variety of timings for actions in your site.

To collect User Timings data, you'll need to add JavaScript timing code to the interactions you want to track using the new _trackTiming API included in ga.js (version 5.2.6+) for reporting custom timings. This API allows you to track timings of visitor actions that don't correspond directly to pageviews (like Event Tracking).  User timings are defined using a set of Categories, Variables, and optional Labels for better organization. You can create various categories and track several timings for each of these categories. Please refer to the developers guide for more details about the _trackTiming API.

Here are some sample use cases for User Timings
  • To track timings for AJAX actions before and after onLoad event. 
  • A site can have their own definition of "User Perceived Load Time", which can be recorded and tracked with user timings.  As an example, news websites can record time for showing the above fold content as their main metric instead of onLoad time. 
  • Detailed performance measurement and optimization of sub components on a page, such as time to load all images, CSS or Javascript, download PDF files and time it takes to upload a file.
Want to check out User Timings Report in your account?

Go to the content section and click the User Timings report under Content section. There are three tabs within the User Timings report for you to review: Explorer, Performance, and Map Overlay. Each provides a slightly different view of user timings reported.

The Explorer tab on the User Timings report shows the following metrics by Timing Category, Timing Variable, or Timing Label (all of which you define in your timing code).
  • Avg. User Timing—the average amount of time (in seconds) it takes for the timed code to execute
  • User Timing Sample—the number of samples taken
The Explorer tab also provides controls that you can use to change the tabular data. For example, you can choose a secondary dimension—such as browser— to get an idea of how speed changes by browser.

To learn more about which timings are most common for user timings, switch to the Performance tab. This tab shows timing buckets, providing you with more insight into how speed can vary for user reported timings for selected category, variable and label combinations. You may switch to Performance tab at any point of navigation in the Explorer tab, such as after drilling down on a specific category and variable, to visualize distribution of user reported timings.  The bucket boundaries for histograms in Performance Tab are chosen to be flexible so that users can analyze data at low values ranging from 10 milliseconds granularity to 1 minute granularity with addition of sub-bucketing for further analysis.


The Map Overlay tab provides a view of your site speed experienced by users in different geographical regions (cities, countries, continents).


Satish Kambala and Mustafa M. Tikir are on the Google Analytics Team.

Posted by Scott Knaster, Editor

Belle of the Ball - Beta Updates


Heyo! Belle of the Ball has gone through several more beta tests and it's polishing up to be a very fun light strategy game.

» Download the Current Beta Rules PDF
» Download the Print-and-Play Cards PDF
» Follow the conversation on BoardGameGeek
  • Term changes: "Couples" are now "friends." Up to three guests may be in a "group of friends." Adding a guest to a group of friends is "friending," until we can find a better term. "Social activity" is now "mood." "Physical activity" is now "interest." "Attracting" is now "calling."
  • Each player gets two Belles – one public, one secret. This allows multiple ongoing strategies, offensive countermeasures, and keeps a bit of deduction that was fun from previous versions.
  • Four of the Belles are replaced with Ribbon tokens, each linked to a different interest. Ribbons  reward you for gathering the most guests of a particular interest. Ribbons move around the table like Catan's knight and road bonuses.
  • The game is now one long round instead of a series of three short rounds. The endgame trigger makes the game last about thirty minutes. 
  • Clarified that the winner of a duel decides the order in which the dueling guests get discarded.
  • Ties in duels result in the duelists and the called guest being discarded.
  • The symbols on the cards are now framed by distinct shapes. County is framed by a hexagon, because there are six counties. Mood is framed by a triangle, because there are three moods. Interest is framed by a diamond/square because there are four interests.

Threshold team exorcist

A very nice sculpt, but frustrating to paint due to my lack of proper matt varnish. Tried to reduce the glossy finish several times with various washes and thinned down paint. A rather sinister looking fellow, and not only because of how he is painted, he really is sculpted with a frown on his face.

This miniature will be used for Strange Aeons, a profile for the exorcist as well as fitting opponents such as Banshee, Restless spirit, Mojo and Poltergeist can be found in Shocking Tales of Madness and Mayhem vol.2.

Sunday, April 29, 2012

Ben Roethlisberger on Altoona, his guys, and his ankle

By Finesse (follow me on Twitter)

While so-called media elites gathered in Washington, DC last night to roast the president, the real elites gathered at the Blair County Convention Center in Altoona for the Blair County Sports Hall of Fame induction ceremony.  Among the inductees were revered legends such as former St. Francis basketball star Don Appleman, former Maryland football player Todd Benson, former minor league baseball player Harold "Bucky" Bush, former Duquesne University and WNBA player Candace Futrell, former Villanova basketball player Allen Griffith and Tyrone Area High School's PIAA championship football team of 1999.

And when you have that many legends in one room to celebrate Altoona, you break out the big guns.


Yep.  That's Hancock County, Ohio's own Big Ben Roethlisberger.

He was on hand to deliver the keynote address and Altoona Mirror reporter Buck Frank, who inexplicably wasn't invited to the White House Correspondent's Dinner, was there to cover it all.  Below are some of the nuggets that Frank uncovered from General Ben.  All of them are real.  Except one.

- Regarding his first talk with Steelers first-round draft pick David DeCastro.
"He was saying, 'Did you get those flight plans? Did you get those flight plans?''' ... Roethlisberger said after a few seconds, DeCastro realized who he was talking to. "I can't wait once we get started to get on him about that,'' Roethlisberger joked. 
Much more after the jump....

- Regarding the commitment to the offensive line.
"I'm excited,'' Roethlisberger said before Saturday's event. "You know, at least on paper, it looks awesome. But, you never know until you take the field and the bullets start flying. I'm really excited. We got some good guys on offense and defense to help add to a team that was good already. "I had an idea [about the picks]. They kept me in the loop a little bit. When DeCastro was there, you got to take him. Some are saying he's one of the best guards in college since Alan Faneca. We hope he can live up to the hype.'' 
- Regarding Rashard Mendenhall's uncertain return from ACL surgery.
"That's the big question, is how healthy Rashard's going to be,'' Roethlisberger said. "But Isaac Redman stepped up last year, and Baron Batch was injured last year but is a young guy we have high hopes for. And we got the new guy, and we have guys like Jonathan Dwyer. We'll see what happens, but I think we'll be good in that area.'' 
- Regarding discussions with new offensive coordinator Todd Haley.
"We'll be allowed to talk this week coming up, so I'm looking forward to it,'' Roethlisberger said. "I know it's going to be a lot different offense as far as the wording, the verbiage. It's a lot tougher. I don't want to say we're taking a step back, but we're starting over in learning the offense. You'll see differences in calling plays. But how much we'll run or pass, I don't know.'' 
- Regarding his guys, the wording, and the verbiage.
"Like I said, the wording, the verbiage will be different. But what won't change is that when we're in the trenches taking enemy fire, I'll be the first one to stand up, take a bullet to my chest, writhe in pain on the ground, limp slowly toward the locker room, pause briefly, look at God and have a personal discussion with him, return after halftime with 11 inches of tape around both my ankles and wrists, grab my helmet, lead my men back onto the field, and call a play from the cheat sheet on my wrist that I'm still wearing after 8 years in the league albeit with different wording and verbiage."
- Regarding losing some of his guys.
"That's the natural progression of our job,'' Roethlisberger said. "You're always losing guys. The locker room won't be the same. You can't replace guys like Aaron Smith, Hines and James Farrior, but it's time for other guys to step up, and my role will continue to grow.'' 
- Regarding the ankle.
 "The ankle is doing OK,'' he said. "It's going slower than I had hoped, but it's definitely healing. I feel like I'm getting into the prime of my career. I hope my play on the field shows that.'' 
- Regarding what this is all about.
"I couldn't tell you how close I am [for passing records],'' Roethlisberger said. "To me, it's about Super Bowl rings, and I'm two behind him still. To me, it's more about team stuff.''

Has no idea how close he is to passing records and stuff.

Sympathy for Carrie

By now you may have figured out that I'm not the most popular guy with some posters on the GSN board. My loudest detractor sums up the case against me, but also takes a swipe at somebody else...

Other poster: You know you're wrong, so you have to run to your little blog and take cover. If it wasn't for the fact that you post the PDF's before Alex does, I don't think many would visit that blog of yours. All it is is you taking potshots at us, The Game Show Forum, and Buzzerblog. Seriously don't know why Carrie over at Ask.com likes your blog.

Just to pick up on this item, because I want to defend Carrie Grosvenor (not that she needs defending).

First, it's About.com, not Ask.com. Carrie runs a very good game show blog at the site. She also runs "Reader's Choice" awards for game shows. Both years that she's run the competition, my blog has been nominated as one of the five finalists in the best game show fansite category. The excellent Game Show Newsnet won the category both years, by the way, as the site notes with understandable pride at the top of their web page. My site lost badly both years, which will make some folks happy (wink).

But Carrie is not showing any unfair favoritism to my site with those nominations as a finalist. The nominations are decided by the votes of her readers. My site just happened to land in the top five each year. Carrie has told me that some people in the game show business seem to like my site. Some e-mails I've gotten support that idea. But Carrie doesn't pick the nominees. Her readers do. I'm very grateful that they've made my site a finalist both years.

Anyway, now you know the rest of that story.

GSN ratings chatter

GSN recently sent out a press release with some (selected) good ratings news. Conversation ensues on the GSN board...

Other poster: GSN has released official numbers on some of their ratings on their corporate page. The press release states that the $25,000 Pyramid hour on Saturday, honoring Dick Clark saw ratings up 32% from regular episodes that air now. On Sunday, April 22, Harvey Feud at 5:30pm received 587,000 viewers, and 5th Grader later that night at 8pm received 742,000 viewers, a 6-year network high.

Sooner or later we'll see the entire week of April 16-22 from Douglas Pucci. Frankly, the press release tells us nothing we didn't already know. Jeff Foxworthy and Steve Harvey are the stars of the network. Well, duh. And I'm not sure but I think Behind the Blank, the Match Game documentary, might have gotten the big number back in 2006. I vaguely remember a press release about it. (Well, now I'm not so sure. Behind the Blank ran on GSN less than six years ago.)

Another poster: The last two things to get over 700K+ viewers on GSN were Behind The Blank and The Tonya Harding Anything to Win.

Wrong. The first Bob Eubanks ep of GSN's Newlywed Game on January 7, 2010 got 718K viewers. That was the last published 700K+ number on the network. Baggage and Family Feud occasionally came close in subsequent published weeks. Baggage got 690K on November 17, 2010, for instance.

But a lot of weeks went unpublished since January, 2010. So there may have been later 700K+ numbers we don't know about. Maybe the most remarkable recent ratings performance was a regular episode of Wheel of Fortune which somehow pulled 672K viewers at 2:00PM in the afternoon on Black Friday, November 26, 2010. That's a little better than GSN usually does at 2:00PM (wink).

Strange Aeons Escape into Danger silent film AAR

This is my AAR for the Strange Aeons contest helt by Lead Adventure Forum member Styx, I had this idea to try to make it too look like a silent film. Another member beat me to it but I still wanted to try out the idea.

The game was a solo game, I tweaked the "Escape into Danger" scenario with added difficulty.

While the core scenario remained the same, to escape off the opposing table edge guarded by Lurkers I added a small random event with additional Lurkers appearing.

This worked as follows: Starting on turn 3 the Lurker player receives one additional random Lurker model. He rolls 1D6, on 1-4 the new model is a regular zombie. On a 5 it becomes a Bloated Zombie, on a 6 a Flayed Horror.

Stats for the later two which I made up look like this:

Bloated zombie (M3, Dex6, Con6, A2, W2, Res5+, Tough)
Combat stats and weapons like a regular zombie

Flayed Horror
(M 1D3+2, Con7, A1, W2, Res5+, Tough, Fear)
Claws CCB +2 , Dam D+2, Parry, AP1

Once a new Lurker has been generated it has to be placed 12" away from a Threshold model. There can only be one Flayed Horror or Bloated Zombie on the board at any one time. If you roll to include more of these monsters a regular zombie is placed instead.


Beside the added stream of Lurkers the Threshold player also has to make sure that the drunken old guide, Nelson Bessnet, makes it out alive. He is the only one who knows the way and the local area.


........................

The Threshold team

Character Hugh Hopwell [skill +1 wound)
.45 pistol
Double barreled shotgun
Tight boots

Agent Clayton Tibbits (skill +1 Dexterity)
.45 pistol
Bolt action rifle
Dynamite
Remote detonator

Old timer Nelson Bessnet
(Civilian profile from the Threshold list, but no weapons)


Lurkers

Demonic Cult leader (based upon Cult Leader)
.22 handgun
Skinsaw CCB +1 Dam D+2)
+1 wound
+1 constitution 

Conglomerate

............


The game lasted 9 turns and turned out be a lot more difficult than usual. This time around the Threshold team had to really shoot their way past the Lurker waves, the additional Lurkers also proved to be of good use to block off any escape attempts too soon. Up to turn 6 the Threshold team was pretty much tied up with keeping zombies and other monsters at bay. Once Agent Tibbits had died against the Bloated Zombie, which managed to land a blow and score a critical hit on top of that - there was little else to do but to run like crazy counting on the longer movement of the Threhold agents.

Towards the end another Flayed Horror spawned and intercepted the escape but luckily the character, agent Hopwell managed to handle that situation as well and save the old timer and himself.

Beside the black and white video I also thought it might be fun to see the pictures in color so I attached them to this post as well.