Sunday, January 6, 2013

Demography is destiny

Time again to sample Richard Carson's terrific I've Got a Secret channel on YouTube. I didn't pick this 2/5/1958 video for its humor. Though Bill Cullen and Jayne Meadows do stumble through some funny moments, similar to one of the earliest IGAS videos on YouTube.

Instead, the 1958 video shows that the mills of demography grind slowly, yet they grind exceeding small. The secret: Mrs. Walker of Syracuse has two sets of triplets, as part of her family of nine kids. Henry Morgan guesses the triple double, or double triple.

Of course, 1958 was the height of America's postwar baby boom, so big families were common. Nowadays a family of eight will get you a show on TLC. And we're just starting to deal with the collapse of the baby boom and the aging of America.

In fact, you can expect a lot of squabbling as politicians try to blame each other for the nasty reality of fewer young workers supporting ever larger numbers of aged retirees. And you thought the fiscal cliff posturing was silly. Anyway, the video shows how I've Got a Secret reflects so much of our history. Right down to those grubby demographics.

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