Friday Morning Update:
A strong current of S and SW flow is now hitting our region, with high winds aloft: check out the winds at the Seattle profiler...50 kts sustained a few thousand feet above the surface. (graphic) The rain over the past 24 h is shown in the second figure.
Intense rain is falling on and near the Olympics. Keep away from the Skokomish River!
Old Part
From Sunday night on, a very deep upper low will build over the eastern Pacific and a series of disturbances--some very strong--will move northward along the offshore waters. I mean four or more of them. Now our predictions have modest skill that far, but it looks like someone along the NW coast--between northern CA and Vancouver Is-- is going to get savaged. Want to see one of these storms? Or another? Or another? Or another? (graphics below with sea level pressure). Pretty impressive.
These are events that could bring hurricane force gusts to the coast. A multiple event with such strong components is not common. And heavy rain will strike the Olympics and N. Cascades through the weekend and then move into California. That is a story in its own--coastal CA and even the northern Baja should get very heavy rains if the current models are correct. The reason--a strong jet stream moving directly towards them with embedded disturbances.
Will be watching very carefully the next few days...
Friday Morning Update:
A strong current of S and SW flow is now hitting our region, with high winds aloft: check out the winds at the Seattle profiler...50 kts sustained a few thousand feet above the surface. (graphic) The rain over the past 24 h is shown in the second figure.
Intense rain is falling on and near the Olympics. Keep away from the Skokomish River!
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